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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$513.8K
Liquidity
$250.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $18K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$18K
This market asks whether Anthropic will have a public stock listing by June 30, 2026. It is mainly about whether the AI company completes an initial public offering, or another public-market listing process, before the deadline. Because Anthropic is a closely watched private AI company, any official step toward going public can move attention quickly.
The question is simple: will Anthropic shares be listed on a public securities exchange and begin trading by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026? For a “Yes” resolution, the key event is not just planning or filing, but an actual public trading debut by that date. The market also says that if Anthropic is acquired by an already public company before then, it resolves to “No.”
Anthropic is a major private artificial intelligence company, so its path to the public markets has broader significance than an ordinary IPO rumor. Readers care because an IPO would be a visible milestone for the company, its investors, and the AI sector more generally, while a delay would keep it in private-company territory. The uncertainty comes from timing: a company can discuss public-market plans for a long time without completing a listing.
The biggest price-moving developments would be official filings such as a Form S-1 or Form 8-A, exchange listing confirmations, and Anthropic press releases that show the company is actively preparing to go public. A firm announcement of a listing date would matter even more than general IPO talk, because this market resolves only when shares are actually listed and trading. On the other side, news that Anthropic has been acquired by a public company would push the market toward “No” under the rule set.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$513.8K
Liquidity
$250.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe source of truth here is the official paperwork and announcements tied to the listing: SEC filings, exchange notices, and Anthropic press releases. Readers should watch for whether any filing or announcement specifically confirms a public trading debut before the June 30, 2026 cutoff, not just a confidential filing or general intent to go public. The main ambiguity risk is timing, since a late filing, a delayed listing, or a deal announcement that changes Anthropic’s ownership could determine the outcome right at the deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $18K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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