
-3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
24h Vol
$161.1K
Liquidity
$139.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2027
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?. The market currently shows a live probability of 58%, $6.3K in 24h volume, and $1.1K in liquidity.
Probability
58%
24h Volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?. The market currently shows a live probability of 58%, $6.3K in 24h volume, and $1.1K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
58%
No
42%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying product must be named "HomePod mini" and be recognized as a successor to the original HomePod mini product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new HomePod mini product released without a number, under a designation other than HomePod mini 2, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the HomePod mini and expands on them in a way that makes it clear this product is a successor. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets

-3%
24h Vol
$161.1K
Liquidity
$139.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2027
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 58%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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