
-4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
24h Vol
$178.4K
Liquidity
$165.4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2027
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $796.7 in 24h volume, and $9.3K in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$796.7
Liquidity
$9.3K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $796.7 in 24h volume, and $9.3K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
4.5%
No
95.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in a way that makes it clear this product is a successor. Products named iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone Air, or similar variants will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets

-4%
24h Vol
$178.4K
Liquidity
$165.4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2027
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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