culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
10%
-49%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$271.9K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $98 in 24h volume, and $479 in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$98
Liquidity
$479
This market asks whether "Babydoll" by Dominic Fike will finish the week as Spotify’s most-streamed song worldwide on the chart labeled June 12. It is a straightforward test of streaming performance over a specific Spotify chart week, so the key question is whether this track can outpace every other song globally during that reporting window.
The event is based on Spotify’s official weekly global songs chart, which is updated on Fridays and reflects streams from the prior Friday through Thursday. Here, the resolution hinges on the song named in the title, "Babydoll - Dominic Fike," being the #1 song for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify has not published that week’s top song by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market defaults to "Other," so the deadline and Spotify’s own chart are the only things that matter for settlement.
Songs can rise quickly or fade just as fast depending on playlist placement, social attention, fan behavior, and how much repeat listening a track gets over a single week. Dominic Fike is a recognizable artist with a song that could benefit from momentum, but the global #1 spot on Spotify is highly competitive and often shifts with major releases from bigger-streaming acts. The market is pricing the uncertainty around whether this specific track can reach the very top of Spotify’s worldwide weekly chart for that exact reporting period.
Any evidence that "Babydoll" is being heavily streamed across major markets could support the Yes side, especially if the song appears to be gaining traction on Spotify’s own charts or playlist surfaces. The No side would strengthen if another song is dominating the weekly streaming conversation, or if Spotify’s chart updates suggest "Babydoll" is not close to the top spot. Because the outcome depends on one week of global streams, late-week momentum and the final Thursday cutoff matter more than older performance.
Related markets
-49%
24h Vol
$271.9K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The source of truth is Spotify’s official weekly chart under the "Charts" heading on open.spotify.com, not third-party rankings or social media chatter. Readers should check the exact week labeled June 12, since the market resolves only to the #1 song for that specific chart week, and confirm that Spotify has published the result before the June 13, 2026 cutoff. If the chart is delayed or unclear, the market rules say it defaults to "Other," so the publication timing is part of the resolution risk.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $98 in 24h volume, and $479 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
7.5%
No
92.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$55.2K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-0.4%
24h Vol
$84.3K
Liquidity
$53K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$275.3K
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-41.1%
24h Vol
$41.6K
Liquidity
$11K
Spread
6%
6/8/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$18.3K
Liquidity
$18.5K
Spread
0%
6/16/2026
View market