culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
11%
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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Beat It - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $112.3 in 24h volume, and $722.7 in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$112.3
Liquidity
$722.7
This market asks whether "Beat It - Michael Jackson" will finish as Spotify’s global #1 song for the week labeled June 12. It is tied to Spotify’s official weekly charts, so the outcome depends on which track is reported as the most streamed worldwide for that specific chart week.
The question is narrowly defined: will "Beat It - Michael Jackson" be the top song on Spotify for the week labeled June 12, as published under Spotify’s Charts section. The market resolves from Spotify’s official weekly top-songs chart, and if that chart for the June 12 week is not released by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market defaults to "Other." In plain terms, readers should watch for Spotify’s chart update and see whether this catalog track outranks every other song globally for that week.
Spotify’s weekly chart can elevate older songs, catalog tracks, or viral surges into the global top spot, and Michael Jackson’s "Beat It" is the kind of recognizable classic that can re-enter attention through streaming momentum. The uncertainty is not about whether the song is famous, but whether enough users streamed it during the exact Thursday-to-Thursday chart window to make it number one. That makes this a question about comparative listening volume against every other song on Spotify that week.
Any shift in streaming attention during the June 12 chart window could matter, especially if "Beat It" gets a burst from playlist placement, social media use, a tribute moment, or broad catalog listening. The market can also move if another track appears to be dominating Spotify’s weekly global chart, making a "Beat It" win less likely. Because the resolution is based on a single official ranking, even small changes in relative streaming totals can affect whether it lands at #1.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is Spotify’s official weekly chart labeled June 12, since that is the source of truth for this market. Readers should check the Charts page on open.spotify.com and confirm both the song title and the week label, because the market is tied to that exact release rather than to broader popularity or artist headlines. The deadline matters too: if Spotify has not published the relevant chart by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other," so the chart’s publication timing is part of the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Beat It - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $112.3 in 24h volume, and $722.7 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
4.9%
No
95.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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