economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $825K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$825K
This market asks whether Brian Kemp will be the Republican Party’s nominee for president in 2028. Kemp is a well-known Georgia Republican and two-term governor, so the market is really about whether he can turn that state-level profile into a national nomination by the time the party settles on its ticket.
The question is specific: will Brian Kemp win and accept the 2028 Republican nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves by a consensus of official Republican Party sources, and it is tied to the 2028 election cycle, with the current end date shown as November 7, 2028. The rules also say that if someone else replaces the nominee before Election Day, that replacement does not change how this market is resolved.
A presidential nomination is shaped by delegate rules, primary and caucus results, party endorsements, campaign decisions, and whether a candidate actually stays in the race through the convention. Kemp’s name matters because he is a prominent Republican figure, but he is not automatically in the national nomination field, so there is real uncertainty about whether he will run, gain enough support, and formally accept the party’s nomination. The market is pricing disagreement about both political viability and the practical steps required to become the official nominee.
Announcements from Kemp about running, dropping out, or joining the race would matter immediately, as would official party developments that clarify who is accumulating delegates. Results from early primaries, caucuses, and the Republican National Convention could also shift expectations if Kemp enters the contest or becomes a serious contender. Because the resolution depends on official Republican Party sources and acceptance of the nomination, formal party statements, convention actions, and any nominee replacement process are especially important.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the party’s official nomination process, especially delegate counts, convention decisions, and any formal statement identifying the 2028 nominee. The key resolution detail is that the market only resolves Yes if Brian Kemp both wins and accepts the Republican nomination; being discussed as a candidate is not enough. It is also worth checking whether the party changes its nominee before Election Day, because the rules say such a replacement will not alter the outcome for this market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $825K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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