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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $19.3K in 24h volume, and $1.5M in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$19.3K
Liquidity
$1.5M
This market asks whether Byron Donalds will become the Republican Party’s official 2028 nominee for president and accept that nomination. It is a long-horizon political question centered on a specific person, party process, and the eventual convention or other official nomination procedure. Because the resolution depends on party action rather than general election turnout, the key issue is whether Donalds emerges as the chosen Republican standard-bearer.
Byron Donalds is a Republican member of Congress from Florida, and the market is about whether he will win the Republican presidential nomination for the 2028 U.S. election. The description says the market resolves “Yes” only if he wins and accepts the 2028 Republican nomination for U.S. president; otherwise it resolves “No.” The end date shown is November 7, 2028, but the important resolution frame is the party’s official nomination decision, not the general election itself.
Republican presidential nominations are usually shaped by endorsements, early state contests, donor support, debate performance, and how the field narrows over time, so there is real uncertainty well before the convention. A market like this is watching whether Donalds becomes a credible national contender rather than just a prominent Republican figure. The disagreement being priced is simple: whether he can translate name recognition and party standing into the actual nomination.
Price can move if Donalds formally launches a campaign, gains major endorsements, or is treated by party leaders as a serious front-runner. It can also shift if other high-profile Republicans enter the race, if Donalds takes on a visible national role, or if official party signals point toward a different nominee. Because the market resolves on whether he wins and accepts the nomination, any event that clearly strengthens or weakens his path to the convention can matter.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth is the consensus of official Republican Party sources, so readers should watch the party’s nomination process, convention outcome, and any official acceptance statement. One important rule here is that if the Republican nominee is replaced before election day, that replacement does not change this market’s resolution; the question stays tied to whether Byron Donalds himself wins and accepts the 2028 nomination. The main ambiguity to verify is whether the party’s official actions clearly identify Donalds as the nominee, since informal endorsements or media speculation are not enough.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $19.3K in 24h volume, and $1.5M in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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