culture
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11%
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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $354.4 in 24h volume, and $531.8 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$354.4
Liquidity
$531.8
This market asks whether Ella Langley’s "Choosin' Texas" will be the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. That makes it a straightforward check on one very specific chart result: not overall popularity in general, but which track finishes first on Spotify’s U.S. weekly ranking for that reporting period.
The title points to a single song, "Choosin' Texas," and a single artist, Ella Langley. Resolution depends on Spotify’s official U.S. weekly top songs chart for the week labeled June 12, which is the source of truth here; if Spotify has not posted that result by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market falls back to "Other."
There is uncertainty because songs can rise or fall quickly over a one-week streaming window, and Spotify’s chart outcome depends on actual U.S. listening totals during that specific Thursday-to-Friday reporting frame. Readers may care because it tests whether a particular track can outpace every other song on one of the biggest streaming platforms, which is a concrete measure of mainstream reach and short-term momentum.
The most direct price movers are anything that changes expected U.S. Spotify streams for "Choosin' Texas" during the chart week: a release surge, playlist placement, viral attention, or strong fan listening can improve its chances, while competition from other heavily streamed songs can push it down. Since the market resolves to a single #1 song, even small shifts in relative streaming totals can matter if another track is close behind.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the market closes, readers should verify Spotify’s official "Charts" page and look specifically for the U.S. weekly top songs entry for the week labeled June 12. The important details are the country, the exact week label, and whether Spotify publishes the chart by the stated deadline; if the chart is delayed past June 13, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $354.4 in 24h volume, and $531.8 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
3.4%
No
96.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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