
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $126.8K in 24h volume, and $16.5K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$126.8K
Liquidity
$16.5K
This market asks whether Discord will be the 2026 IPO with the largest market value on its first day of trading. It is a narrow comparison market: the winner is not the biggest company in general, but the one that finishes its first U.S. trading day in 2026 with the highest market capitalization.
To resolve Yes, Discord would need to complete an IPO between January 1 and December 31, 2026, and then end its first trading day with a market cap larger than any other company that goes public in that same year. Market cap here means the number of outstanding shares multiplied by the official closing share price on that first trading day. If two companies end up exactly tied, the market uses alphabetical order of the listed names as the tiebreaker.
This market centers on a simple but uncertain question: if Discord goes public in 2026, how large will the company be valued relative to the rest of that year’s IPO class? Discord is a well-known consumer software company, so its listing would likely draw attention, but the final answer depends on IPO timing, share structure, and how the first trading day is priced versus other 2026 debuts. The market is pricing that outcome against a field of other possible 2026 IPOs, any one of which could end up larger on the first day.
The biggest price drivers are concrete IPO milestones: a filing, an announced intention to list, pricing terms, the number of shares offered, and the actual first-day closing price once the stock starts trading. Anything that changes the expected size of Discord’s listing, or suggests another company may debut with a larger valuation, can move this market. Because the resolution depends on the official closing price and outstanding shares, updates from the primary exchange listing page or the company’s IPO documents matter more than headline commentary.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Watch whether Discord actually completes an IPO in 2026, because the market only resolves Yes if it does and it ends the year with the top first-day market cap among 2026 IPOs. The rules say resolution will rely on the primary exchange’s official listing page, with U.S. dollar conversion handled through the Federal Reserve H.10 rate if needed, so the key data points are the official close, share count, and listing currency. Readers should also verify whether any other 2026 IPO appears likely to finish with a larger first-day valuation, since that is the direct condition that would make Discord lose this comparison.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $126.8K in 24h volume, and $16.5K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+13%
24h Vol
$168.1K
Liquidity
$177.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$77.6K
Liquidity
$53.3K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$33.1K
Liquidity
$128.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.4%
24h Vol
$19.4K
Liquidity
$34.4K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.5%
24h Vol
$18.3K
Liquidity
$29.6K
Spread
0%
Live
View market