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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$526.1K
Liquidity
$255.2K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Probability
98%
24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$5.7K
This market asks a very simple question about Discord’s public debut: will the company still be private when June 30, 2026 passes? Discord is a well-known chat and community platform, so any IPO would be a major corporate event for users, employees, and market watchers alike.
The resolution hinges first on whether Discord completes an initial public offering by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If it does not IPO by then, the market resolves to “No IPO by June 30, 2026.” The description also says that if Discord does go public, the related closing-market-cap question will be based on the company’s closing price on its first day of trading and the official primary-exchange listing page.
There is real uncertainty around both timing and whether Discord will choose to list at all before the deadline. Investors and observers may care because an IPO would mark a major transition for a high-profile private tech company, while a delay would keep it out of public markets longer. The market is effectively pricing disagreement over whether a filing, listing, and first trading day will all happen within the stated window.
The biggest price moves would come from concrete IPO milestones: a public filing, an announced offering timeline, a listing date, or confirmation that the company has postponed plans. A final exchange listing notice would be especially important because the rules rely on the first official trading day and the exchange’s official closing price if the IPO happens. Any indication that Discord is still remaining private as the deadline approaches would also push the market toward the no-IPO outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 98% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$526.1K
Liquidity
$255.2K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, readers should check whether Discord has actually completed an IPO by June 30, 2026, not just whether it has talked about one. If the company does list, the source of truth is the primary exchange’s official listing page and the official closing price on the first trading day; if trading is interrupted, the rules use the official close of the abbreviated session or, if needed, the next official close. The key ambiguity to watch is timing: an announced IPO plan is not the same thing as an IPO that has بالفعل taken place by the cutoff date.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
97.6%
No
2.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 98%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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