
-46.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$259.3K
Liquidity
$12.7K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $4.9K in 24h volume, and $160.7K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$160.7K
This market is asking a very specific version of a Venezuelan leadership question: whether Evan Pettus will be the person officially recognized as Venezuela’s head of state at the end of 2026. The important part is not the name in the title alone, but the resolution rule tied to who officially holds that office on December 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
The market resolves to the individual who is formally serving as the head of state of Venezuela at the stated deadline. Under the rules, that means someone who has been officially appointed, confirmed if needed, and sworn in, or otherwise identified by official government information as holding the role; if the Venezuelan government is unclear, the fallback source is the UN’s listing of the head of state. If there are multiple official claimants, the market uses primary status, or the first person to assume the position if no distinction is made; if no one holds the office, the outcome is “No Head of State.”
Venezuela’s top office has been politically contested at different points, so there can be uncertainty not just about who claims authority, but about who is recognized as holding it in an official sense. That makes the market less about informal political influence and more about the exact legal or diplomatic status that will exist on the resolution date. The title’s reference to Evan Pettus is unusual, so readers should pay close attention to the rules rather than assume the market is about a generic presidential race.
The price would move most on developments that change who is officially recognized as Venezuela’s head of state, such as an election result, inauguration, resignation, succession, or a formal government announcement that changes the officeholder. Diplomatic recognition could matter too, especially if the Venezuelan government’s position is ambiguous and the market has to fall back on the UN listing. Any court ruling, constitutional change, or transition agreement that clearly affects who is sworn in or recognized by December 31, 2026 would be especially relevant.
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-46.5%
24h Vol
$259.3K
Liquidity
$12.7K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the deadline, the key thing to verify is the official officeholder at exactly 12 PM ET on December 31, 2026, not just who is campaigning, nominated, or expected to take office later. The market rules give priority to official Venezuelan government information, and only if that is unclear do they move to the UN head-of-state listing, so the source of truth matters. Readers should also watch for edge cases such as delayed inaugurations, interim presidents, overlapping claims, or a change announced after the cutoff time, since those would not necessarily count under the stated rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $4.9K in 24h volume, and $160.7K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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