
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $77.4 in 24h volume, and $727.8 in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$77.4
Liquidity
$727.8
This market asks whether "Hit The Wall" by Gracie Abrams will be the most-streamed song on Spotify for the chart week labeled June 12. It is worth watching because Spotify’s weekly global chart reflects a narrow, highly competitive race in streaming popularity, where a single breakout track can overtake a crowded field in a matter of days.
The question is specifically about Spotify’s official global top song for the week labeled June 12, not about radio play, sales, or a general measure of popularity. The market resolves from Spotify’s own Charts page, and if Spotify has not published the relevant top-song result by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market defaults to "Other." In plain terms, the outcome is whether Gracie Abrams’ "Hit The Wall" finishes that Spotify week at number one worldwide.
Spotify’s chart week is a fixed period, but the song that ends up at the top can still change based on listener behavior during that window. That leaves room for uncertainty about whether one specific track can outstream all others globally by the end of the week. Gracie Abrams is a recognizable pop artist, and the title names a single song, so the market is really testing whether that track can produce enough global streaming momentum to claim the weekly crown.
Anything that affects streaming volume during the June 12 chart window can move this market, especially playlist placement, social buzz, and whether the song keeps accumulating plays faster than competing releases. Official Spotify chart updates are the key signal because the market resolves on Spotify’s published global ranking, not on outside commentary. If another track appears to be pulling ahead on the weekly chart, that would generally make "Yes" less likely; if "Hit The Wall" is visibly leading or gains traction late in the week, that would support the opposite view.
Related markets

-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check Spotify’s official "Charts" section for the global weekly top songs list for the week labeled June 12, since that is the source of truth for resolution. The main ambiguity to watch is timing: this market uses Spotify’s weekly chart cadence, and if the chart is not published by the stated deadline, the contract defaults to "Other." It is also important to verify that the listed number one song is the global Spotify top song for that exact week, since the market is not about country-specific charts or a different date range.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $77.4 in 24h volume, and $727.8 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
3.5%
No
96.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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