culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
10%
-45.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$259.6K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $339.8 in 24h volume, and $469.8 in liquidity.
Probability
91%
24h Volume
$339.8
Liquidity
$469.8
This market asks whether Drake’s album "Iceman" will debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 for the chart week dated June 20, 2026. It is a straightforward test of first-week album performance under Billboard’s chart rules, with the result tied to the official chart published by Billboard.
The key question is which album sits at the top of the Billboard 200 for the issue labeled “Week of June 20, 2026.” Billboard uses a Friday-through-Thursday tracking week and then posts the chart with a Saturday date, so the market is not about sales on a single day but about the full weekly tally used by Billboard. The outcome is simply whether Drake’s "Iceman" is the #1 album on that specific chart date, with any other album counted as No.
This market reflects the uncertainty around a major album release and whether it can outperform every other title in the same tracking week. Drake is a high-profile artist with a history of strong album openings, but a No. 1 debut still depends on the size and timing of listening and sales, the competition on the chart, and how Billboard weighs streams and purchases. Readers are essentially watching whether this release has enough broad demand to lead the week’s album chart.
Anything that changes expectations for the album’s first-week performance can move this market, especially the release timing, tracklist, and how much attention the album gets in the days before Billboard closes its tracking window. Strong commercial momentum, heavyweight competing releases, or a delay in the album’s rollout could all affect the odds. The market can also shift once early Billboard chart chatter, label announcements, or official release details make the opening week look stronger or weaker.
The current market price implies roughly a 91% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-45.5%
24h Vol
$259.6K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View marketThe most important source of truth is Billboard’s official Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of June 20, 2026,” published on Billboard’s chart page or official channels. Because Billboard’s tracking week ends before the chart date itself, readers should pay attention to the deadline on June 16, 2026, and verify whether the album was released in time to count for that chart week. If the chart is delayed or not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, the market rules say it resolves to "Other," so the publication timing matters as much as the ranking itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $339.8 in 24h volume, and $469.8 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
91%
No
9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of June 20, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 91%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$55.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-0.5%
24h Vol
$82.3K
Liquidity
$49.7K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$93.6K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-43.7%
24h Vol
$39.4K
Liquidity
$9K
Spread
3%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$20.3K
Liquidity
$133.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market