culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
11%
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $443.5 in 24h volume, and $634.9 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$443.5
Liquidity
$634.9
This market asks whether "Janice STFU - Drake" will finish the week of June 12 as the most-streamed song in the United States on Spotify. It is a tight, chart-based question with a short resolution window, so the exact Spotify chart for that week is the key thing to watch.
The outcome depends on Spotify’s official U.S. weekly charts for the week labeled June 12, which the market says will be resolved using Spotify’s own "Charts" page. In plain terms, the question is whether Drake’s "Janice STFU - Drake" will be the top song on Spotify in the U.S. for that chart week, or whether some other track will beat it. The market also includes a fallback rule: if Spotify has not released that weekly top-song chart by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to "Other."
A song can surge for many reasons—playlist placement, viral momentum, fan campaigns, or broader attention around the artist—and those shifts can change quickly from week to week. Drake is a major streaming artist, so the market is really about whether this specific track can outpace the rest of the U.S. Spotify listening field during that chart period. The uncertainty comes from the fact that streaming charts are competitive and can be affected by late-week listening, releases from other big artists, and Spotify’s own reporting cadence.
The biggest price moves would come from anything that changes the song’s streaming performance in the U.S. during the June 12 chart week, especially if the track shows up prominently in Spotify’s chart ranking or becomes unusually visible on the platform. Official confirmation from Spotify’s weekly U.S. chart would settle the question most directly, while any delay in publishing the chart would matter because of the market’s default-to-"Other" deadline. Attention around Drake, a new release from a competing artist, or strong playlist support could also shift expectations if it appears reflected in the chart outcome.
Related markets
-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is Spotify’s official weekly U.S. top songs chart under the "Charts" heading on open.spotify.com. Readers should verify the exact week label, since this market resolves specifically on the chart for the week labeled June 12, not a broader monthly or global ranking. The deadline matters too: if Spotify does not publish that chart by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other," so a missing or delayed chart is not the same as a weak performance.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $443.5 in 24h volume, and $634.9 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
2.8%
No
97.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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