culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
11%
-48.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$276.2K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $80.2 in 24h volume, and $558.7 in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$80.2
Liquidity
$558.7
This market asks whether the song titled "Janice STFU - Drake" will reach No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot 100 for the chart week of June 20, 2026. The title points to a specific track associated with Drake, so the key question is not just whether the song is popular, but whether it finishes the Billboard tracking period as the top-ranked song in the country.
Resolution is tied to the official Billboard Hot 100 chart labeled “Week of June 20, 2026,” not to any streaming platform ranking or social media buzz. Billboard typically publishes the Hot 100 on Tuesdays and labels each chart by the upcoming Saturday date, so this market follows that exact chart when it appears. If Billboard does not publish the relevant chart within 14 calendar days of the expected release window, the market resolves to “Other,” but the listed outcome here is specifically about whether this song is No. 1.
There is uncertainty because a song’s chart position depends on a mix of U.S. streaming, sales, and radio performance during the tracking week, and those inputs can change quickly. A Drake track can attract major attention, but attention alone does not guarantee a No. 1 debut or hold, especially if another release or a long-running hit outperforms it across Billboard’s scoring. The market is effectively pricing whether this particular release can convert public interest into enough chart activity for the June 20 chart.
Price can move if the song is released broadly, promoted heavily, or shows signs of strong first-week consumption that would support a No. 1 debut. It can also move if competing songs are clearly dominating streaming, sales, or airplay during the same tracking window, making a top spot less likely. Because the result depends on the official Billboard chart week, anything that changes the song’s release timing, eligibility, or first-week momentum can affect the outcome.
Related markets
-48.5%
24h Vol
$276.2K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to watch is the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 20, 2026, since that is the only source that decides the market. Readers should verify the exact chart title and the No. 1 entry on Billboard’s website or official Billboard channels, because the week label can be easy to misread. The market is also sensitive to the chart’s publication timing, so the relevant question is what Billboard posts for that specific week, not informal rankings or estimates.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $80.2 in 24h volume, and $558.7 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 20, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$55.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-0.4%
24h Vol
$85.3K
Liquidity
$51.1K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$275.3K
Liquidity
$1.2M
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$30.4K
Liquidity
$24.9K
Spread
0%
6/16/2026
View market
-47.2%
24h Vol
$41.6K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Spread
13%
6/8/2026
View market