Will "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the top global Netflix show this week?

What this market is about

The event here is Netflix’s global Top 10 TV shows update on top10.netflix.com, expected on Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The question is whether "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" is the #1 English-language TV show globally in that update, based on Netflix’s reported total views for the prior Monday-through-Sunday viewing week. If Netflix does not publish the update by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."

Why the market exists

"Lawmen: Bass Reeves" is a Netflix Western drama centered on the historical lawman Bass Reeves, so the market is really about whether that title can outperform every other English-language TV series on Netflix worldwide in a given week. There is uncertainty because weekly streaming charts can be driven by new releases, returning hits, and the size of Netflix’s audience across many countries, and the title’s weekly performance is not obvious from the premise alone. Readers are effectively watching whether this specific series can finish first in Netflix’s own measured viewership ranking.

What can move the price

The main thing that can move this market is the actual Netflix Top 10 update on June 9, since that determines the winner directly. Any sign that "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" is being highlighted by Netflix, or that another show is dominating the week’s global views, would matter because the market is tied to the chart outcome rather than longer-term popularity. If the update is delayed or never appears before the June 12 cutoff, that would also change the resolution path toward "Other."

How to read the current probability