culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
8%
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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $154.2 in 24h volume, and $743.3 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$154.2
Liquidity
$743.3
This market asks whether Drake’s song "Make Them Cry" will finish as Spotify’s most-streamed song globally for the week labeled June 12. It is a straightforward chart question, but it depends on Spotify’s own weekly ranking, not on popularity in a broader sense or on any other streaming service.
The outcome is tied to Spotify’s global weekly charts, which are updated on Fridays and cover the previous Friday-through-Thursday tracking window. Here, the relevant week is the one labeled June 12, and the market resolves to "Yes" only if "Make Them Cry - Drake" is the number one song in Spotify’s official top songs chart for that week. If Spotify has not published that weekly top song by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market defaults to "Other."
A song can trend strongly without necessarily becoming the single most-streamed track worldwide for a full week, especially on a platform as large and fast-moving as Spotify. Drake is a major streaming artist, but the #1 spot can shift quickly based on new releases, viral momentum, playlist placement, and sustained listening across the week, which is why the market is uncertain.
The biggest driver is Spotify’s official weekly chart update for the June 12 week, since that is the source of truth. Any sign that "Make Them Cry" is holding unusually strong daily streaming momentum, or that another song is dominating the same week, would naturally affect expectations for whether it can reach #1. Because the market is about a specific Spotify chart date, any delay, chart publication issue, or ambiguous labeling by Spotify would also matter.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-43%
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, the key thing to check is Spotify’s official Charts page under the "Charts" heading, since the market resolves only from Spotify’s published data. Readers should confirm the exact song title, the artist attribution, and the week label June 12, because the market is sensitive to how Spotify names the track on the chart. If Spotify does not publish that week’s top song by the specified cutoff, the market falls back to "Other," so the publication timing matters as much as the ranking itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $154.2 in 24h volume, and $743.3 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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