culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
11%
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $803.3 in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$803.3
Liquidity
$1.2K
This market asks whether "Make Them Cry - Drake" will be the most-streamed song on Spotify in the U.S. for the week labeled June 12. The result matters because Spotify’s weekly charts are a direct snapshot of listening demand, and a Drake track can move quickly if it catches on across playlists, social media, or repeat streams.
The question is simple: when Spotify publishes its U.S. weekly chart for the week labeled June 12, will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be listed at #1? The market resolves from Spotify’s official chart data, not from outside estimates, and it defaults to "Other" if Spotify has not released that weekly top-song chart by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The deadline is therefore tied to Spotify’s own reporting window and publication timing, which is why the exact chart label and release date matter here.
There is uncertainty because weekly streaming rankings can change sharply based on release timing, fan attention, playlist placement, and whether a song sustains enough U.S. plays across the full tracking week. Drake is a major streaming artist, but being well known does not guarantee a #1 chart position in a particular week, especially when other songs have stronger momentum. The market is essentially weighing whether this specific track can outperform everything else on U.S. Spotify during that chart week.
Anything that affects streams during the tracking window can matter, especially a new release push, prominent playlist placement, viral attention, or a surge in repeat listening from Drake’s audience. A strong debut week for another major song could also make a #1 finish less likely, since the market only cares about which track ends up at the top of the U.S. Spotify chart. Because the resolution depends on the full week ending Thursday and Spotify’s Friday update, late-week streaming momentum can still be decisive.
Related markets
-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is Spotify’s official U.S. weekly chart under the "Charts" heading, specifically the weekly top songs list for the week labeled June 12. Readers should verify that the chart is actually published before the June 13, 2026 11:59 PM ET cutoff, because a missing release would force the market to "Other." The main ambiguity risk is not the artist or the song title, but whether Spotify’s chart labeling and publication timing match the market’s resolution rule exactly.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $803.3 in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
7%
No
93%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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$135.5K
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