economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.6M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast say "Lose" or "Loser" during his next gaming YouTube video?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether MrBeast says either “Lose” or “Loser” in his next video on the MrBeast Gaming YouTube channel. Because the outcome depends on a single word appearing in one specific upload, it can turn quickly on the exact edit, dialogue, or even audio inserted into that video.
The question is about the next gaming video posted on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming, not any main-channel upload, Short, preview, or unrelated content. It resolves Yes if MrBeast says the listed term in that next gaming video; otherwise it resolves No. The rules also say old clips, prerecorded clips, and AI-generated audio or video all count if they contain the term, and plural or possessive forms count while other forms do not.
There is uncertainty because viewers cannot know in advance what MrBeast will say in the next upload or how the final edit will be assembled. The market is effectively pricing the chance that the exact words “Lose” or “Loser” appear somewhere in that one qualifying video, regardless of context. The page’s category label says politics, but the substance here is an entertainment-and-content-resolution question tied to YouTube wording.
Price can move if MrBeast Gaming posts a new video and the title, clip, or spoken dialogue makes it more or less likely that the term appears. Any confirmed appearance of “Lose” or “Loser,” including in archived footage or synthesized audio inside the qualifying video, would be decisive for resolution. If no new gaming video is posted before the market’s June 7, 2026 deadline, traders will also factor in the rule that the market resolves No if no such video appears by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.6M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact next upload on the MrBeast Gaming channel, since that is the sole resolution source. Readers should check the video itself, not summaries or reposts, and pay attention to the rule that only the next posted gaming video counts; Shorts, previews, and other channels do not. The market page shows a relatively wide spread and meaningful recent movement, so the final wording of the upload is the main ambiguity to watch before resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast say "Lose" or "Loser" during his next gaming YouTube video?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.1K in 24h volume.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
MrBeast Gaming releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on his gaming channel on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old videos or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such video is posted by MrBeast by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next gaming video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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$414K
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0%
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