Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?

What this market is about

The market resolves based on the view count of the referenced MrBeast YouTube video after its first 168 hours online. It is a simple yes/no question: whether that video reaches 64 million views or more within week 1. Shorts, trailers, previews, or any other uploads do not count, and the market specifically points to the video titled "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic" on MrBeast’s official channel.

Why the market exists

MrBeast videos often launch with unusually large audiences, but the exact week-one total can still vary depending on packaging, audience interest, algorithmic distribution, and how broadly the video is shared. A 64 million view threshold is high enough that it creates genuine uncertainty even for a creator with a massive following. Readers care because this is a clean test of whether a major MrBeast release can push past another very large early-view milestone.

What can move the price

The main things that can move this market are the published view count on the named video as the 168-hour mark approaches, and any clear sign that it is accelerating toward or falling short of 64 million. Because the rules use the specific video and a fixed first-week window, the market can react to how rapidly the counter climbs over the first several days, not to later long-tail performance. Any confusion about whether the correct upload is being tracked, or whether the 168 hours have fully elapsed, would also be important.

How to read the current probability