culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$53.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $7.9K in 24h volume, and $19.1K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$7.9K
Liquidity
$19.1K
This market asks whether MrBeast’s next long-form YouTube upload, "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic," will finish its first week with views in a very narrow band: between 62.5 million and 63 million. Because MrBeast is one of YouTube’s biggest creators, even small differences in early reach can matter a lot in a market like this.
The resolution is based on the view count for the specific video titled "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic" on MrBeast’s official YouTube channel. The market measures the first 168 hours after that video was posted, so it does not resolve early if the view count crosses the target range before the week is over. If the final reported value lands exactly on a bracket edge, the rules say to use the higher range bracket.
The uncertainty here is about how fast a major MrBeast upload will accumulate views during its first week, and whether it will land in this very specific slice of performance. MrBeast videos often draw huge initial attention, but the exact pace can vary with topic, thumbnail, algorithmic pickup, and audience response, which is why a narrow range like 62.5–63 million can still be uncertain.
Any evidence about the video’s early traction can matter, especially the public view counter on the referenced upload during the 168-hour window. A faster-than-expected start, a slower rollout, or a view count that appears to settle well above or below the target band would all push expectations away from the "Yes" outcome. The market is tied to one exact video only, so activity on Shorts, previews, reposts, or unrelated uploads should not count.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$53.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact source of truth: MrBeast’s official YouTube channel and the specific video "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic." Readers should check the final view count after the full 168 hours have elapsed, since the market cannot resolve earlier than that under the rules. The end date shown is 2026-06-07 03:59 UTC, but the important resolution clock is the 168-hour window from the moment the video was posted, so the posting time and final counter are the details that matter most.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $7.9K in 24h volume, and $19.1K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "I Survived 7 Days in the Arctic", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpQSUjNsNm0. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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