
-43%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $121.7 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$121.7
Liquidity
$1.3K
This market asks whether Netflix’s title "Nemesis" will finish the week as the platform’s most-watched TV show worldwide. It is tied to Netflix’s own Top 10 TV rankings, so the key question is not popularity in general, but whether this specific title comes out at No. 1 in the company’s weekly global list.
The resolution point is Netflix’s Top 10 TV shows update on top10.netflix.com, expected Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, covering viewing from Monday through Sunday of the prior week. For this market to resolve Yes, "Nemesis" would need to be the #1 global Netflix TV show in that update, using Netflix’s reported global views for English-language TV series. If Netflix does not publish the update by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other rather than to Yes or No.
There is uncertainty because Netflix’s weekly rankings can be affected by launch timing, word of mouth, competition from other series, and how strongly a title holds over its first full week. The market is really asking whether "Nemesis" can outdraw every other English-language TV show on Netflix worldwide in that specific reporting window. For readers, the important thing is that the question is narrowly defined by Netflix’s own chart, not by broader cultural buzz or subscriber counts.
Anything that changes the expected ranking on Netflix’s weekly list can move this market, especially the performance of "Nemesis" relative to other shows in the same week. A release date, a season premiere, a finale, or heavy viewing on the first days of eligibility can matter because Netflix’s chart is based on total views over the Monday-to-Sunday period. News that another major Netflix series is dominating the same week, or that "Nemesis" is outside the top tier in Netflix’s own rankings, would generally make a Yes outcome less likely.
Related markets

-43%
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is the Top 10 TV shows page at top10.netflix.com, because that is the ranking the market uses to settle. Before resolution, readers should check whether the expected Tuesday update actually appears, whether "Nemesis" is listed as the #1 global English-language TV show, and whether the list format matches the market’s stated rule. The fallback deadline matters too: if the update is missing by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other, so a delayed posting would change the outcome even if the show later appears in a ranking.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $121.7 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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