Will "Office Romance" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What this market is about

The event is the Tuesday, June 9, 2026 update to Netflix’s Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com, which reflects U.S. movie viewing from the prior week. Resolution depends on which title Netflix lists as the #2 U.S. movie in that update, and this market will answer "Yes" only if "Office Romance" holds that exact position. If Netflix does not publish the update by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."

Why the market exists

Netflix weekly rankings can shift with new releases, carryover viewing, and how strongly a title performs in its first full week on the service. "Office Romance" is the specific title under watch here, but the question is really whether it can outpace every other movie except one during the measurement window. Because the market is about an exact rank rather than a broad success threshold, small changes in viewing totals can matter a lot.

What can move the price

Anything that affects how many U.S. viewers watch "Office Romance" during the Monday-to-Sunday period can change the outcome, especially if another movie is competing for the same #2 spot. The most relevant signals are Netflix’s own Top 10 update, whether the film is newly released or still in a strong second week, and whether other high-profile movies on the service are likely to outrank it. Since the market resolves on the official chart, the price can also move if traders think Netflix’s published ranking will differ from early expectations about audience demand.

How to read the current probability