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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $6 in 24h volume, and $296 in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$6
Liquidity
$296
This market asks whether Opendoor Technologies Inc. stock (OPEN) will print an intraday high of at least $7.50 at any point during June 2026. Because the rule is tied to a specific 1-minute candle and regular trading hours only, the exact time and data source matter as much as the headline price level.
The event is about Opendoor Technologies Inc., a U.S.-listed company whose shares trade under the ticker OPEN, reaching a high price of $7.50 or more on Pyth during June 2026. A single 1-minute candle during regular U.S. market hours is enough for a Yes outcome, while prices in pre-market or after-hours trading do not count. The market ends with the June 2026 trading window and resolves from Pyth’s published historical data for OPEN High prices, using split-adjusted values if a stock split or similar corporate action occurs.
The market reflects uncertainty about whether OPEN can touch a fairly specific price threshold within a one-month window. For a stock like Opendoor, the question is not just where the shares finish the month, but whether intraday trading ever reaches the listed level, which can depend on volatility, earnings-related moves, sector sentiment, and broader market conditions. Traders may disagree on whether the stock can briefly spike high enough to satisfy the rule even if it does not hold those gains.
Price movement in this market will mainly come from OPEN’s own trading behavior during June, especially any sharp moves around company updates, earnings, filings, or major guidance changes that are released during regular market hours. Because the threshold is based on the intraday high of a 1-minute candle, brief bursts of buying can matter even more than the closing price. Stock splits or similar corporate actions would also change the displayed threshold and the historical candle data because the market resolves on split-adjusted Pyth prices.
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24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact rule: the Yes condition is a 1-minute candle High of at least $7.50 during regular trading hours only, using Pyth data exactly as published. The main source of truth is the Pyth OPEN chart for 1-minute candles, and the outcome depends on the historical record after any split adjustment, not on headlines or end-of-day summaries. The deadline is the end of June 2026, so any qualifying print must occur before that window closes, and the most important ambiguity to verify is whether a move happened inside regular session hours and was captured in the 1-minute Pyth data.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $6 in 24h volume, and $296 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
3.5%
No
96.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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