culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
8%
-43%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Poor Things" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $161.5 in 24h volume, and $378.3 in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$161.5
Liquidity
$378.3
This market asks whether the movie "Poor Things" will land at No. 2 on Netflix’s U.S. weekly movies chart for the reporting week ending before the June 9, 2026 update. The answer depends on Netflix’s own Top 10 page, so it is tied to the platform’s published ranking rather than outside reviews or box office performance.
The event is Netflix’s U.S. Top 10 movies update on top10.netflix.com, scheduled for Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The resolution question is simple: when that weekly list is posted, is "Poor Things" the movie ranked at #2 in the United States? If Netflix does not publish the update by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."
"Poor Things" is a specific title with a strong streaming audience question behind it: can it rise high enough in a crowded weekly lineup to take the No. 2 spot? The uncertainty comes from week-to-week viewing swings, especially around what else is newly available, what older titles continue to hold attention, and how Netflix orders its movie chart for the U.S. market. Readers following this market are really watching whether a single film can break into the upper tier of the weekly Netflix ranking.
Anything that changes expected U.S. viewing for the relevant Monday-to-Sunday window can move the market. If Netflix heavily promotes "Poor Things," if it appears prominently on the service, or if the week’s competing movies look weak, confidence in a No. 2 finish can rise; if a major new release dominates the chart, it can fall. The best signal will be the actual Netflix top10.netflix.com update, since that is the source of truth for resolution.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-43%
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCheck the exact Netflix Top 10 movies update posted on top10.netflix.com at the stated time, and make sure you are looking at the U.S. movie chart rather than another country or category. The market resolves only from the movie ranked #2 in the U.S. for that weekly update, based on Netflix’s reported views. If the update is delayed or missing, the fallback deadline is June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and that timing matters as much as the ranking itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Poor Things" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $161.5 in 24h volume, and $378.3 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
1.6%
No
98.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$55.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-0.5%
24h Vol
$82.3K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$94.6K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-40.1%
24h Vol
$38.8K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$20.8K
Liquidity
$134.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market