culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
8%
-43%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $343.4 in 24h volume, and $731.2 in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$343.4
Liquidity
$731.2
This market asks whether the song titled “Potential - sombr” will finish as Spotify’s global No. 1 song for the week labeled June 12. Because Spotify’s charts are based on streaming totals over a specific weekly window, the answer depends on how that song performs against every other track worldwide during that chart period.
The key entity here is Spotify’s global weekly songs chart, which is the official source for resolution. The market refers to the chart week labeled June 12, and the result will be based on which song Spotify lists as the most-streamed globally for that week. If Spotify has not released that weekly top-song chart by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.”
There is uncertainty because streaming rankings can change quickly from week to week, especially when a song is newly released, goes viral, or gets a boost from playlists and social sharing. Readers care because Spotify’s global No. 1 slot is a simple but meaningful measure of which track is dominating listening across the platform at that moment. The market is pricing a disagreement over whether “Potential - sombr” will be strong enough to reach the very top for that specific week.
Anything that changes streaming volume for “Potential - sombr” during the chart window can move this market, including a surge in playlist placement, social-media attention, artist promotion, or a release from a major competing song. Since Spotify’s chart is weekly and global, broad listener momentum matters more than local popularity in any one country. A late-week spike can still matter if it lands inside the Thursday cutoff used for that chart week.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-43%
24h Vol
$238.1K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe main thing to verify is Spotify’s official Charts page under the “Charts” heading, since that is the stated resolution source. Pay attention to the chart label for June 12, because that is the week the market is tied to, not just any recent Spotify ranking. If the chart is delayed past the June 13, 2026 11:59 PM ET deadline, the market defaults to “Other,” which makes the publication timing itself important.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $343.4 in 24h volume, and $731.2 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
1.2%
No
98.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$55.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-0.5%
24h Vol
$82.3K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$94.6K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-40.1%
24h Vol
$38.8K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$20.8K
Liquidity
$134.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market