culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
10%
-46%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$267.6K
Liquidity
$10.1K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $419.8 in 24h volume, and $933.2 in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$419.8
Liquidity
$933.2
This market asks whether "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" will be the most-streamed song on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. It is a straightforward music-chart question with a fixed source of truth: Spotify’s own weekly Charts listing. Because the market resolves off one specific weekly ranking, the key issue is not general popularity, but whether this exact track finishes at #1 globally for that reporting week.
The title names a specific song, "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana," and asks if it will rank first on Spotify’s global weekly top songs chart for the week labeled June 12. Spotify says this chart is updated on Fridays and covers streams from the preceding Friday through Thursday, so the relevant listening window is tied to that weekly cycle. If Spotify has not published the top song for that June 12 week by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market defaults to "Other."
Music charts can be hard to pin down in advance because streaming totals can shift quickly based on release timing, fan campaigns, playlist placement, and how long a song keeps drawing repeat listens. Drake and Future are widely known for drawing large streaming numbers, and the inclusion of Molly Santana makes this a specific collaboration rather than a generic artist-name bet. The market is effectively pricing whether this track can outstream every other song globally during that one Spotify tracking week.
Anything that changes the song’s streaming momentum during the June 12 tracking window can matter, especially new-release attention, playlist exposure, or viral pickup across Spotify listeners. Because the market resolves on Spotify’s official weekly chart, the biggest price-moving signal is whether the song appears high on the Charts page when that week’s list is published. If the chart release is delayed past the market’s fallback deadline, that also becomes important because the market would resolve to "Other" under the stated rules.
Related markets
-46%
24h Vol
$267.6K
Liquidity
$10.1K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check Spotify’s official Charts section under the "Top Songs" listing for the week labeled June 12, since that is the sole resolution source. The important details are the exact weekly label, the publication date on Spotify, and whether the song is listed at #1 globally rather than merely trending or appearing on another chart. The main ambiguity risk is timing: if Spotify does not publish the relevant weekly chart by June 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market does not wait longer and defaults to "Other."
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $419.8 in 24h volume, and $933.2 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
1.6%
No
98.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 12. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 12 by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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