Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $90 in 24h volume, and $7.7K in liquidity.

Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Oct 4, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).