finance
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
7%
-3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
24h Vol
$161.1K
Liquidity
$139.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2027
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, $2K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Probability
35%
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, $2K in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
35%
No
65%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Related markets
-3%
24h Vol
$161.1K
Liquidity
$139.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2027
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 35%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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