
-46%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$257.5K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $392.1 in 24h volume, and $725.5 in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$392.1
Liquidity
$725.5
This market asks whether "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" will land in a very specific box office band for its opening weekend: between $19 million and $21 million domestically. The answer matters because even a narrow range can signal whether a film’s debut is tracking as a breakout, a modest start, or something in between.
The event is the opening weekend domestic box office for "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act," measured by the 3-day weekend from June 5 to June 7. Resolution will use the finalized Weekend Box Office Performance figures on The Numbers, with Box Office Mojo used as a backup if there is any ambiguity about final numbers. The market is asking a simple range question: did the movie finish at least $19 million and no more than $21 million, with exact midpoint handling going to the higher bracket if the reported value lands on a boundary.
Opening weekend revenue is one of the clearest public tests of audience interest, especially for a title with recognizable brand value or online-driven awareness like The Amazing Digital Circus. A narrow band such as $19 million to $21 million is where small differences in attendance, release timing, and fan turnout can change the outcome. The market is pricing disagreement about whether the film’s first weekend will be strong enough to sit inside that window or instead come in below or above it.
Any sign that the film’s opening weekend is tracking toward a stronger or weaker debut can change expectations for this market, but the final move will depend on the confirmed domestic gross in the box office charts. Because the rules rely on the finalized 3-day weekend figure, late studio revisions, theater-count changes, preview accounting, or reporting updates on the resolution sites can all matter. If the reported number lands near $19 million or $21 million, the exact bracket rules become especially important.
Related markets

-46%
24h Vol
$257.5K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the final Weekend Box Office Performance entry on The Numbers for the June 5–7 opening weekend, and confirm whether the figure is final rather than a studio estimate. If there is any mismatch or uncertainty, the market rules say to wait until both The Numbers and Box Office Mojo have confirmed finalized figures. The deadline listed is June 8, 2026, with a fallback resolution process if final data is still unavailable by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $392.1 in 24h volume, and $725.5 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
6%
No
94%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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