
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $273.3 in 24h volume, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$273.3
Liquidity
$1.5K
This market asks whether the opening weekend box office for The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act will land in a narrow band: at least $21 million but below $23 million. That makes the June 5–7 domestic opening a key test of how much theatrical pull this title has, especially if Thursday previews and weekend demand come in stronger or weaker than expected.
The event is the domestic opening weekend gross for "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act," measured by The Numbers on its Box Office page after the 3-day weekend of June 5 to June 7 is finalized. The market resolves "Yes" if the reported opening weekend total falls between $21 million and $23 million, with exact boundary cases resolved into the higher bracket. If final figures are still ambiguous, the market waits for confirmation from both The Numbers and Box Office Mojo, and if no final data is available by June 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, another credible source can be used.
This page is really about whether the film can hit a very specific commercial range on its first weekend, which can hinge on fan interest, release timing, and how wide the opening is. Because the title is tied to a recognizable property and the market is anchored to a tight dollar window, traders are pricing disagreement not just over whether the film will do well, but over whether it will finish close enough to the middle of that band to count as a match.
Anything that changes expectations for the first three-day total can move this market, especially release-week signals such as theater count, early turnout, and whether the film’s audience appears to be larger or smaller than expected. Since the resolution uses the final weekend figure from The Numbers, attention should also stay on whether Thursday previews are included in the weekend total and whether late studio revisions change the reported number. If the opening lands well above $23 million or below $21 million, the market would move away from this bracket quickly; if the gross looks close to the band, the final posted figures will matter a lot.
Related markets

-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check the exact final 3-day opening weekend number on The Numbers, and make sure it is not still marked as an estimate. If there is any mismatch or delay, the rules say to compare the final figures on both The Numbers and Box Office Mojo before treating the result as settled. The main ambiguity to watch is whether the reported domestic total is truly final and whether the weekend definition used by the source matches the June 5–7 window specified in the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $273.3 in 24h volume, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
10.6%
No
89.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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