
--
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$49.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Probability
63%
24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.2K
This market is about whether “The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act” will clear a $19 million domestic opening weekend at the box office. It is worth watching because the resolution depends on a specific published box office source and a narrow cutoff, so even a small difference in the final weekend tally changes the outcome.
The question is simple: will the movie’s 3-day opening weekend gross be less than $19 million, based on the final domestic weekend figure for June 5–7? The market resolves using The Numbers’ “Daily Box Office Performance” / weekend box office figures, with the 3-day opening weekend counting even if it includes Thursday previews. If the final reported amount lands exactly between brackets, the higher bracket is used, and if the data is still ambiguous, the market waits for final confirmation from The Numbers and Box Office Mojo.
Box office openings are often uncertain before the weekend actually plays out, especially for a title where audience demand, fan turnout, theater count, and preview performance can all shift the final number. The threshold here is specific enough that readers are really asking whether the movie opens solidly below a $19 million line or finishes above it, which is a meaningful distinction for how the release is perceived commercially.
The biggest price moves usually come from the first official weekend estimates, then from final revisions once the studio estimate is replaced by confirmed numbers. Strong preview figures, a better-than-expected Friday-to-Sunday hold, or a wider-than-expected theater rollout would make the “less than 19m” side less likely; a softer Saturday or Sunday, or weaker overall turnout, would push the other way. Because the market resolves only on the final published weekend total, later corrections matter more than early headlines.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$49.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 63% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the final 3-day opening weekend figure for June 5–7 on The Numbers, and confirm whether Box Office Mojo has also finalized the same result if there is any ambiguity. The key detail is the exact domestic weekend total used by the resolution source, not early studio estimates or partial daily numbers. The deadline is June 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET if final data is still unavailable, at which point another credible source may be chosen.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 63%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

-3.9%
24h Vol
$221.7K
Liquidity
$11.2K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market
-0.5%
24h Vol
$83K
Liquidity
$55.5K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
+0.1%
24h Vol
$156.6K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$23.5K
Liquidity
$134.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-49.7%
24h Vol
$31.3K
Liquidity
$5.3K
Spread
11%
6/8/2026
View market