
+0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
24h Vol
$245.6K
Liquidity
$618K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 94%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Probability
94%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 94%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
93.5%
No
6.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$245.6K
Liquidity
$618K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 94%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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