Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $26K in 24h volume, and $295.9K in liquidity.

Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 3, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.