
-43%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$279.9K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,072,000 and $1,105,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $50 in 24h volume, and $333.4 in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$333.4
This market asks whether Miami’s median home value will land inside a specific dollar band on June 30, 2026. It is tied to a published Parcl Labs housing index, so the result will depend on an official data point rather than on a judge’s subjective call.
The title refers to the median home value in Miami, Florida, for all property types, with the resolution date set for June 30, 2026. The market does not use a raw sale price headline; instead, it relies on Parcl Labs’ Sales Price Index for Miami City, which is converted into a dollar estimate by multiplying the published price-per-square-foot figure by 2,100, the stated median square footage in Miami. The outcome is 'Yes' only if that calculated value falls between $1,072,000 and $1,105,000, and if the published figure sits exactly on a boundary, the higher bracket wins.
Miami’s home values are watched closely because the city has seen large swings in housing demand, insurance costs, and affordability, which can make any single monthly reading uncertain. The narrow range in the title creates a precise test of where the market thinks the June 30 index reading will come in, rather than a broad guess about whether prices are generally high or low. The current pricing suggests participants see that exact band as relatively unlikely, but the market is really about one official index print and how it translates into a median-value estimate.
Any new signal about Miami housing conditions can shift expectations for the June 30 Parcl Labs print, especially if it changes views on recent price momentum, inventory, or buyer demand. Because the resolution depends on a specific index release, the biggest price moves will likely come from anticipation of that official June 30 publication or from clarification of how Parcl reports the figure. If the market approaches the deadline without a June 30 release, attention will turn to the fallback rule that uses the most recently published data by July 10, 2026, which can also affect how traders value the contract.
Related markets

-43%
24h Vol
$279.9K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key items to verify are the exact Parcl Labs Sales Price Index value for Miami City, the publication date, and the conversion method described in the rules. Readers should pay close attention to whether the June 30, 2026 data is actually released by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, because the market falls back to the most recently published data if it is not. It is also worth checking the bracket rule: if the calculated median home value lands exactly on a cutoff, the higher range bracket resolves the market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,072,000 and $1,105,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $50 in 24h volume, and $333.4 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
7%
No
93%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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