
-48.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$276.2K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,105,000 and $1,138,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $50 in 24h volume, and $330.6 in liquidity.
Probability
23%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$330.6
This market asks whether Miami’s median home value will land in a specific dollar band on June 30, 2026. It is tied to a published Parcl Labs price index for Miami City, so the result will be determined by a defined data release rather than an opinion about the housing market.
The event is about the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida, as measured on June 30, 2026. The market resolves using the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City: Parcl will publish a price-per-square-foot figure, and the settlement price is calculated by multiplying that index value by 2,100, which the rules say is Miami’s median square footage. The question for traders is whether that calculated home value falls between $1,105,000 and $1,138,000; if the published value sits exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the higher bracket wins.
Miami is a major U.S. housing market with prices that can move meaningfully based on local supply, demand, and broader real estate conditions. Because this market depends on an indexed publication rather than a generic headline number, the uncertainty is not just about where Miami home values are headed, but about the exact figure Parcl Labs will report and how that figure translates into the bracketed range in the rules. Readers following this market are really watching whether the June 30 data point lands inside a narrow price corridor or outside it.
The most important price driver is the actual Parcl Labs June 30 release, since that single print determines the settlement calculation. Any update to the underlying index, especially one that shifts the price-per-square-foot estimate enough to move the multiplied home value above or below the stated range, can change the market quickly. The exact wording of the June 30 publication matters too, because the rules specify a fallback to the most recently published data only if June 30 data is not released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
Related markets

-48.5%
24h Vol
$276.2K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 23% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should check the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City and confirm the published price-per-square-foot value for June 30, 2026. The key rule to keep in mind is that the market value is not taken directly from a listing or headline home-price estimate; it is computed by multiplying the published index by 2,100, and boundary cases go to the higher bracket. If no June 30 data appears by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market uses the most recently published data instead, so the exact release date is part of the resolution criteria.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,105,000 and $1,138,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $50 in 24h volume, and $330.6 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
23%
No
77%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 23%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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