
-48%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$271.1K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,204,000 and $1,237,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $50 in 24h volume, and $219.6 in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$219.6
This market asks a very specific question about Miami housing: whether the city’s median home value will land in a narrow band between $1,204,000 and $1,237,000 on June 30, 2026. It is worth watching because the result depends on an official Parcl Labs index reading, not a casual estimate, and the target range is tight enough that small moves in the underlying price-per-square-foot measure can change the outcome.
The event is tied to the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City, which the market uses as the source of truth. Parcl is expected to publish the June 30, 2026 data, and the settlement value is calculated by multiplying the published price-per-square-foot index by 2,100, the stated median square footage in Miami. The question is simply whether that computed median home value falls inside the named bracket; if it lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher one.
Miami home prices can move enough from month to month that a narrow range like this is genuinely uncertain. Readers may care because Miami is a closely watched housing market, and this setup turns a citywide price benchmark into a precise yes-or-no outcome that depends on an official index rather than anecdotal sales talk. The disagreement here is about where that June 30 reading will print relative to the bracketed threshold, not about whether Miami housing is expensive in general.
Any change in expectations for the June 30 Parcl Labs release can move this market, especially if the underlying Miami Sales Price Index appears likely to finish above or below the bracket after the 2,100-square-foot conversion. Because the resolution is based on a specific published index value, traders will care most about the exact level of the June data once it is released, or about whether Parcl delays publication and forces the market to fall back to the latest available reading by July 10, 2026.
Related markets

-48%
24h Vol
$271.1K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key item to verify is the exact Parcl Labs Sales Price Index figure for Miami City on June 30, 2026, along with the implied median value after the 2,100 multiplier is applied. Readers should also check the market’s boundary rule: if the computed value sits exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range. If Parcl does not publish June 30 data by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market uses the most recently published data instead, so that fallback rule matters if the expected release is delayed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,204,000 and $1,237,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $50 in 24h volume, and $219.6 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
14.5%
No
85.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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