
-46%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$257.5K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $745.7 in 24h volume, and $19.9K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$745.7
Liquidity
$19.9K
This market asks whether Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” will post the biggest 3-day domestic opening weekend of any movie released in 2026. It is a straightforward box-office comparison, but the answer depends on final weekend numbers, not studio estimates, and on how every other 2026 release performs.
The question is tied to the movie title “The Odyssey,” which, in this context, refers to the 2026 theatrical release and its opening weekend gross. Resolution will use The Numbers’ 2026 year page and the film’s “Weekend Box Office Performance” table, with the 3-day Friday-Saturday-Sunday opening weekend as the only figure that counts. If the movie leads all other 2026 films on that measure, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
Opening-weekend box office is one of the clearest early signals of a film’s commercial launch, especially for a high-profile title like a major studio or prestige release. The uncertainty comes from two moving parts: how strong “The Odyssey” opens and whether another 2026 title ultimately outperforms it on the same 3-day measure. Because the market settles on the final audited-style figures, the outcome can still change if another film later posts a larger confirmed opening weekend.
Price movement will mainly come from information about The Odyssey’s release plan, expected audience size, and whether competing 2026 films are likely to open bigger. A confirmed date, a wider-than-expected release, or signs of strong franchise, star, or director appeal can improve the case for a top opening weekend, while a crowded release calendar or a rival event film can weaken it. After release, the market can also move quickly once final 3-day box office figures are published and compared against the rest of 2026.
The current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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-46%
24h Vol
$257.5K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is The Numbers, specifically the movie’s 2026 page and the Weekend Box Office Performance table once the 3-day opening weekend is final, not studio estimates. Readers should verify that the figures are final, that the comparison is based only on Friday through Sunday domestic gross, and that any tie is handled by alphabetical order as the rules say. The market remains open until year-end, with a fallback resolution date if final data is still unavailable by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $745.7 in 24h volume, and $19.9K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
7.5%
No
92.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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