Will the US lose jobs in June?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the US lose jobs in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $797.4 in 24h volume, and $1.1K in liquidity.

Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 3, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm