
-49%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$271.9K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Witness" be the top global Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $45 in 24h volume, and $698.4 in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$45
Liquidity
$698.4
This market asks whether Netflix’s weekly global TV chart will put "The Witness" at number one. It is tied to a specific public update from Netflix’s Top 10 site, so the answer depends on the platform’s own reported viewing data rather than reviews, buzz, or awards. Because the ranking is updated on a fixed schedule, the key thing to watch is the Tuesday release that reflects the previous Monday-to-Sunday viewing window.
The event is the weekly Netflix global Top 10 TV shows update expected on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves to "Yes" only if that update ranks "The Witness" as the #1 global Netflix show for TV shows in English, based on Netflix’s reported total global views. If Netflix does not publish the update by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" under the market rules.
The uncertainty here is simple: Netflix’s weekly chart can change from one release to the next, and a title that looks strong in streaming conversation may or may not end up on top globally. Viewers care because the Top 10 list is one of the few standardized, company-published measures of how a show is performing worldwide. The market is pricing disagreement over whether "The Witness" has enough broad viewing volume to overtake every other English-language Netflix TV series that week.
Anything that changes expectations for the June 9 chart can move this market, especially evidence that "The Witness" is drawing outsized global viewing during the Monday-to-Sunday window. Attention from Netflix itself, a sudden rise in the title’s visibility on the service, or strong word-of-mouth that would plausibly lift view counts could all matter. If another series is widely expected to dominate the chart, that would push the market away from a "Yes" outcome.
Related markets

-49%
24h Vol
$271.9K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is Netflix’s own Top 10 TV shows page, not outside rankings or social media chatter. Readers should check the exact timestamp of the June 9 update, the listed #1 title, and whether the chart is the English TV ranking the rules specify. The fallback deadline matters too: if the update is delayed past June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market does not wait indefinitely and instead resolves to "Other".
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Witness" be the top global Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $45 in 24h volume, and $698.4 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
2.3%
No
97.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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