Will "The Witness" be the top global Netflix show this week?

What this market is about

The event is the weekly Netflix global Top 10 TV shows update expected on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves to "Yes" only if that update ranks "The Witness" as the #1 global Netflix show for TV shows in English, based on Netflix’s reported total global views. If Netflix does not publish the update by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" under the market rules.

Why the market exists

The uncertainty here is simple: Netflix’s weekly chart can change from one release to the next, and a title that looks strong in streaming conversation may or may not end up on top globally. Viewers care because the Top 10 list is one of the few standardized, company-published measures of how a show is performing worldwide. The market is pricing disagreement over whether "The Witness" has enough broad viewing volume to overtake every other English-language Netflix TV series that week.

What can move the price

Anything that changes expectations for the June 9 chart can move this market, especially evidence that "The Witness" is drawing outsized global viewing during the Monday-to-Sunday window. Attention from Netflix itself, a sudden rise in the title’s visibility on the service, or strong word-of-mouth that would plausibly lift view counts could all matter. If another series is widely expected to dominate the chart, that would push the market away from a "Yes" outcome.

How to read the current probability