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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $11.5K in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$11.5K
This market asks whether Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin’s next in-person meeting will take place in one of the Gulf states. The question matters because any Trump-Putin encounter is highly consequential on its own, and the Gulf Cooperation Council countries — Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates — are frequent venues for high-level diplomacy and summit travel.
The market resolves based on the location of the next meeting between Trump and Putin from market creation through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both men to be present and to interact in person; a handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction counts, while simply being in the same building or event does not. If no qualifying meeting happens in that window, the market resolves to No meeting by December 31.
There is real uncertainty over both timing and venue. Trump and Putin could meet in a neutral diplomatic setting, but the rules here narrow the question to the Gulf region, so the market is really pricing the chance that the next face-to-face encounter is hosted by one of those six states rather than elsewhere or not at all. Readers following this market are watching for whether official travel plans, summit announcements, or other diplomatic arrangements point to a Gulf destination.
Any credible announcement that Trump and Putin are scheduled to meet in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, Kuwait, or Bahrain would move this market sharply toward Yes. By contrast, signs that any planned encounter will happen in Europe, Asia, the United States, or not at all would push it toward No. Because the resolution source is based on a consensus of credible reporting, confirmed venue details matter more than speculation, and a reported meeting only counts if the reporting makes clear that both leaders interacted in person.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, check the exact venue, the date, and whether the event description clearly places both Trump and Putin in the same room with direct interaction. The key ambiguity is not just whether a summit happens, but whether it is actually in one of the six GCC countries named in the rules. If reports are vague about proximity, side events, or whether the two leaders met briefly, those details may decide whether the market treats it as a qualifying meeting.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $11.5K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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