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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $394.7 in 24h volume, and $13.7K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$394.7
Liquidity
$13.7K
This market asks where the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will happen, if they meet at all before the end of 2026. Because both men are major political figures and any summit between them would likely be closely choreographed, the location itself is the key part of the question, not just whether talks happen.
The market resolves based on the location of the next meeting between Trump and Putin from market creation through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting means the two men are both present and directly interact in person, such as speaking face to face, shaking hands, or otherwise clearly meeting; simply being in the same venue is not enough. If no qualifying meeting happens in that window, the market resolves to No meeting by December 31.
Trump and Putin have met in high-profile diplomatic settings before, and any future encounter would carry obvious political weight because it could signal shifts in U.S.-Russia relations, Ukraine policy, sanctions, or broader security talks. The market is specifically pricing uncertainty about whether a meeting will occur at all, and if so, whether it is hosted in a Gulf state, elsewhere abroad, or not at all. The title’s focus on “another country” matters because the venue can hint at which government is serving as host or intermediary.
The biggest price moves would come from official announcements, credible reporting of planned summits, or confirmation that Trump and Putin will attend the same event and meet face to face. Changes in diplomatic travel schedules, multilateral conference plans, or host-country mediation efforts could also matter, especially if the venue is reported as one of the Gulf Cooperation Council states named in the rules. By contrast, vague reports of parallel attendance, indirect contact, or “possible talks” would not be enough on their own unless they point to a real in-person interaction.
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24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for the exact meeting location and whether the two men actually interact, since the rules exclude mere proximity or shared attendance without direct contact. The primary source of truth is a consensus of credible reporting, so official statements and reliable follow-up coverage will matter more than speculation. The deadline is December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and any meeting after that date will not count. If a meeting happens in a Gulf country, the market’s definition of Gulf states is limited to the six GCC members: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $394.7 in 24h volume, and $13.7K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1.7%
No
98.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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