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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$5.4K
This market asks where the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will happen, with the specific twist of whether it takes place in another European Union country. The question matters because any Trump-Putin encounter is a major diplomatic event, and the location can signal which governments are willing and able to host it. If no qualifying meeting happens before the deadline, the market resolves to No meeting by December 31, 2026.
The event being tracked is the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin after market creation and before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. For this market, a meeting only counts if both men are present and interact in person; a handshake, direct conversation, exchange of words, or other clear personal interaction qualifies, while simply being in the same room does not. The “another EU country” part is the core location question, and the market will also resolve to No meeting by the deadline if no qualifying encounter occurs at all.
Trump and Putin are central figures in U.S.-Russia relations, so even a single meeting can draw outsized attention for diplomacy, security, sanctions, and war-related policy. The uncertainty here is not just whether they will meet, but whether any such meeting would be hosted in an EU member state rather than somewhere else such as the United States, Russia, a Gulf state, or another venue. The market is pricing disagreement over both the chance of a meeting and the likely diplomacy around where it would happen.
Any official announcement of a Trump-Putin summit, bilateral travel plans, or host-country confirmation could move this market quickly, especially if the venue is named in an EU country. Clear statements from the White House, the Kremlin, or the proposed host government would matter most, since the rules rely on credible reporting and a real in-person interaction. Price can also shift if reports suggest talks are being arranged in the Gulf states or elsewhere instead of Europe, or if negotiations appear to stall and a meeting looks less likely before the deadline.
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24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for the exact location, the date, and whether Trump and Putin actually interact face to face, since proximity alone is not enough under the rules. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting, so a single rumor or speculative headline should not be treated as decisive if it is not widely confirmed. It is also worth checking the deadline carefully: the market runs through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no meeting by then means the No meeting outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1%
No
99.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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