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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $4.6K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$4.6K
This market is asking where the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will happen, with Belarus listed as the specific answer choice. Because the pair are major political figures and any face-to-face encounter would be globally watched, even the venue can become meaningful for diplomacy, optics, and signaling.
The resolution question is not whether Trump and Putin will meet in general, but whether their next qualifying meeting, from market creation through December 31, 2026, takes place in Belarus. A meeting counts only if both are present and interact in person; a handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction is enough, while simply being in the same building or event is not. If no qualifying meeting happens before the deadline, the market resolves to No meeting by December 31.
Belarus is a plausible but uncertain venue because location often reflects who is hosting, which governments are acceptable to both sides, and what diplomatic or political constraints are in place. The market is pricing disagreement over whether any future Trump-Putin encounter would happen in Belarus specifically, versus some other country or not at all within the timeframe. The long deadline leaves room for many possible diplomatic paths, so the outcome depends on future scheduling rather than a fixed calendar event.
Price can move if there are official announcements, confirmed summit plans, or credible reporting that Trump and Putin are expected to meet in Belarus or elsewhere. Public comments from either side about travel plans, mediation efforts, peace talks, or summit logistics would matter, as would any change in whether Belarus is being discussed as a host country. Because the market resolves by the location of the next qualifying meeting, news about a different venue can be just as important as news about Belarus itself.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should pay close attention to the resolution rules and the source of truth: a consensus of credible reporting, not just rumors or social media claims. The key details are the in-person interaction requirement, the exact deadline of December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and whether the meeting happened in Belarus or another place. If reporting is ambiguous about whether Trump and Putin actually interacted, or whether a gathering was merely simultaneous attendance, that ambiguity could affect how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $4.6K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
2.1%
No
97.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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