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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$6K
This market asks whether the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will take place in Japan, rather than somewhere else or not at all before the cutoff. It is a location-specific question built around a high-profile political encounter, so the key issue is not just whether the two leaders meet, but where that meeting happens and whether it meets the market’s definition of direct interaction.
The market resolves on the location of the next qualifying meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin from market creation through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting means both named individuals are present and interact in person; a handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction counts, while simply being in the same venue or nearby does not. The answer is "Yes" only if the next qualifying meeting occurs in Japan; otherwise it resolves to "No meeting by December 31" if no such meeting happens in the time window.
Trump and Putin are central figures in U.S.-Russia relations, and any future meeting between them could carry diplomatic and geopolitical significance. The uncertainty here is twofold: whether they will meet at all during the market period, and if they do, whether the venue will be Japan rather than another country. Because the market is tied to a specific location, even a confirmed summit elsewhere would not satisfy the Japan outcome.
The price would move most on official announcements, summit schedules, or credible reporting that Trump and Putin are expected to appear at the same event. News about venue selection matters especially here: a planned bilateral or multilateral meeting in Japan would support the Yes side, while indications that their next encounter will be in another country would weigh against it. Reports that either leader’s travel plans, diplomatic calendar, or attendance at major international meetings have changed could also affect how likely a Japan meeting looks.
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24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for the exact place of the next meeting and whether the interaction is clearly in person, since proximity alone does not count. The market says the primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting, so the key question is what reliable outlets say about the venue and the interaction itself. The deadline is December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and if no qualifying meeting occurs by then, the market resolves to the no-meeting outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.5%
No
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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