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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $10.5K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$10.5K
This market asks where the next face-to-face meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will happen, with one specific option being Russia. Because the two leaders are among the most closely watched figures in international politics, even the location of a future encounter can carry diplomatic meaning and attract intense attention.
The resolution frame is straightforward: it looks for the next qualifying in-person meeting between Trump and Putin that happens after market creation and before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to "Yes" only if that next meeting takes place in Russia; if there is no qualifying meeting by the deadline, it resolves to "No meeting by December 31." For a meeting to count, both named individuals must be present and interact in person, such as through conversation, a handshake, or other direct personal contact.
A Trump-Putin meeting is not routine, and the venue would be politically meaningful because Russia is Putin’s home country and a location that can signal diplomatic posture, travel constraints, and the setting chosen for any high-stakes discussion. Readers may care because the market is really about a specific sequence of future diplomatic events: whether these two leaders meet at all, and if they do, whether Russia is selected as the host country. The uncertainty comes from both timing and location, since either person could instead meet in a third country or not meet within the deadline.
Any official announcement, summit planning, or credible reporting that identifies an upcoming Trump-Putin encounter would immediately matter, especially if the proposed venue is in Russia. The price would also move if talks are scheduled elsewhere, if travel plans are changed, or if one side confirms a meeting without a location. Since the market only counts direct personal interaction, reports about parallel attendance at the same event would not be enough unless they clearly indicate an in-person exchange between the two leaders.
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24h Vol
$2.1M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the exact location, whether both Trump and Putin are physically present, and whether there is a direct interaction that meets the market’s definition. The primary source of truth is a consensus of credible reporting, so readers should pay attention to how multiple reliable outlets describe the meeting rather than relying on vague appearances or shared event attendance. The deadline is December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and if no qualifying meeting occurs by then, the market resolves to "No meeting by December 31."
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $10.5K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
7%
No
93%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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