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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $6.3K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$6.3K
This market asks a very specific question: if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet again during the market window, will that next face-to-face encounter take place in South Korea? Because both men are central figures in U.S.-Russia geopolitics, even a brief in-person interaction can be politically meaningful and easy to misread without clear resolution rules.
The contract resolves based on the location of the next qualifying meeting between Trump and Putin from market creation through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting means both named individuals are present and interact in person, such as through a direct conversation, handshake, or other clear personal exchange; simply being in the same venue is not enough. If no such meeting happens by the deadline, the market resolves to No meeting by December 31.
The uncertainty here is not just whether Trump and Putin may appear at the same international event, but whether they will have a direct encounter and where that encounter would happen. South Korea matters because it is a plausible summit location in the broader Asia-Pacific diplomatic calendar, but the market is specifically asking whether the next qualifying meeting ends up there rather than somewhere else. The listed rules also leave room for outcomes outside South Korea, including no meeting at all before year-end 2026.
Price can move if there are official announcements, credible diplomatic scheduling reports, or confirmed travel plans that make a Trump-Putin encounter in South Korea more or less likely. It can also shift if either leader is publicly tied to another meeting location, such as a summit, side event, or bilateral stop elsewhere, because the market is about the next meeting’s location rather than a general possibility of contact. Any report showing the two have already met in person under the contract’s definition would be especially important, since that would effectively settle the location question.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for the exact resolution criteria: the market uses credible reporting to decide whether a qualifying in-person interaction happened and where it took place. The key details are the date cutoff, the requirement for direct interaction, and the fact that proximity alone does not count. If coverage is ambiguous, it will matter whether reporting clearly identifies both Trump and Putin as being together and interacting in South Korea before December 31, 2026.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $6.3K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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