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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $6.2K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$21.2
Liquidity
$6.2K
This market is about whether the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin happens in Ukraine before the end of 2026. The title names Ukraine, but the resolution rule is broader: it only pays out on the location of the next qualifying Trump-Putin meeting, or on "No meeting by December 31" if no such meeting happens in the market window.
A qualifying meeting means Trump and Putin are both physically present and interact with each other in person. The rules are specific that a handshake, direct conversation, exchange of words, or another clear personal interaction counts, while simply being in the same room, venue, or country does not. The market runs from creation through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and it resolves from the location of that next meeting if one occurs; otherwise it resolves to no meeting.
Trump and Putin are two of the most closely watched figures in U.S.-Russia relations, so even a single meeting can carry major diplomatic significance. Ukraine matters here because any Trump-Putin meeting there would be unusual and politically loaded given the war, security concerns, and the symbolic meaning of a visit to Ukrainian territory. The uncertainty is not just whether they will meet, but where they would do so and whether the event would meet the market's strict definition of an in-person interaction.
Statements from Trump, Putin, the U.S. government, or Russian officials about planned diplomacy, summitry, ceasefire talks, or travel can shift expectations quickly. So can announcements of international conferences, peace negotiations, or neutral venues where both leaders might plausibly appear. If reporting suggests a meeting is being arranged in Ukraine specifically, that would directly affect this market; if coverage points to other locations or no summit at all, that would push in the opposite direction.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$2.2M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the exact location of any next Trump-Putin meeting and whether it involves direct personal interaction, since proximity alone does not count. Readers should watch for credible reporting that identifies the venue and confirms both leaders were present together, because the market says the primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting. Also note the deadline: if no qualifying meeting happens by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "No meeting by December 31," even if discussions or plans were announced earlier.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $21.2 in 24h volume, and $6.2K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.4%
No
99.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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