culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
11%
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $112 in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$112
Liquidity
$1.6K
This market asks whether “Worst Ex Ever: Season 2” will finish the week as Netflix’s most-watched TV show worldwide. It is tied to a specific Netflix Top 10 update, so the answer depends on how the streamer ranks English-language TV series for that reporting period.
Netflix is expected to publish its global Top 10 TV shows list on Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, using viewing data from the previous Monday through Sunday. The market resolves to the show that appears at No. 1 in that update, and the question here is whether “Worst Ex Ever: Season 2” will take the top spot. If Netflix does not publish the relevant Top 10 update by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.”
The uncertainty comes from Netflix’s weekly rankings, which can be driven by release timing, fan interest, and competition from other new or returning series. A title like “Worst Ex Ever: Season 2” has to outperform every other English-language TV show on the service worldwide during that exact Monday-to-Sunday window, which is a high bar even for a noticeable release. Readers care because the result is a direct snapshot of which Netflix series captured the most global viewing attention that week.
The main price mover is whether Netflix’s Tuesday update shows “Worst Ex Ever: Season 2” at No. 1 or reveals a different title above it. Any strong-performing rival release, a delayed update, or a ranking that puts this season lower than first would push the market away from Yes. Because the source is Netflix’s own Top 10 page, the published ranking itself is the decisive event, not outside commentary or estimates.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, check whether the Top 10 page at top10.netflix.com is updated on the expected Tuesday and whether it lists English-language TV shows globally, since that is the exact source of truth named in the rules. The key detail is the #1 position in that specific weekly update, not overall popularity, daily charts, or non-English rankings. If the update is missing or delayed past June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market does not stay open for interpretation; it resolves to “Other.”
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $112 in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
1.7%
No
98.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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