
+0.1%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$473.8K
Liquidity
$212.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $53.5K in 24h volume, and $32.2K in liquidity.
Probability
22%
24h Volume
$53.5K
Liquidity
$32.2K
This market asks a very specific question about WTI crude oil futures: will the active-month contract touch $75 on the downside at any point during June 2026 trading? It is not about where oil closes the month, but whether a 1-minute candle in the relevant trading session records a low at or below that level.
The market is tied to WTI Crude Oil (WTI/CL) futures, with the active month defined by the contract-roll rules in the description. For a “Yes” resolution, at least one 1-minute candle for the active-month contract must publish a final low price equal to or below $75 during a June 2026 trading session, using Pyth data exactly as published. The market ends with the June trading window, and if the active-month contract does not trade during the relevant period, it resolves to “No.”
Oil futures can move sharply around OPEC policy, supply disruptions, inventory data, refinery demand, and macro headlines, so a single monthly threshold can be uncertain even over a short horizon. The disagreement here is not about a long-term oil forecast; it is about whether intramonth trading briefly reaches a specific floor. That makes the $75 level a clean test of how volatile WTI might be during June.
Anything that changes near-term supply, demand, or risk sentiment can matter here, especially because the trigger is a one-minute price print rather than a monthly average. Upcoming U.S. inventory reports, OPEC-related supply signals, refinery outages, geopolitical disruptions, and broad moves in energy markets can all push the active-month WTI contract toward or away from $75. Contract rollover timing also matters, since the market follows the active month rather than a fixed calendar contract.
The current market price implies roughly a 22% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+0.1%
24h Vol
$473.8K
Liquidity
$212.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketReaders should watch the exact June 2026 trading sessions, because only prices during the applicable session count and the session starts at 6:00 PM ET the prior calendar date under the standard schedule. The resolution uses Pyth’s published 1-minute high and low values without rounding, so a tiny difference from $75 can decide the outcome. It is also important to verify which contract is the active month during the relevant dates, since the rules switch to the next listed month before the nearest contract’s last trading session.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $53.5K in 24h volume, and $32.2K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
21.5%
No
78.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 22%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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